Fremantle v Port Adelaide
Optus Stadium
8.11
59
7.8
50
Match complete
Fremantle won by 9 points
IN
Jones
Nyhuis
Sutcliffe
McCarthy
Tucker
Kersten
Brayshaw
Apeness
OUT
IN
Hombsch
Amon
Gray
Jonas
Johnson
Trengove
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 71% | 20 points | ✗ | 28.9 | -0.79 | |
85% | 37 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -1.69 | ||
Punters | 82% | ✗ | -1.45 | |||
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.18 | ||
77% | 26 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -1.12 | ||
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -1.04 | ||
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 28.7 | -0.81 | ||
69% | 20 points | ✗ | 28.6 | -0.70 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.67 | ||
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.54 | ||
64% | 18 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.47 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.33 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.