North Melbourne v Sydney
Docklands
15.8
98
16.8
104
Match complete
Sydney won by 6 points
IN
Morgan
Davies-Uniacke
Jacobs
Zurhaar
OUT
IN
O'Riordan
Marsh
Newman
Papley
Heeney
Hannebery
McVeigh
Grundy
Jack
Towers
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 51% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.03 | |
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.40 | ||
58% | 10 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.21 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.13 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.11 | ||
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.03 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.03 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.01 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.01 | ||
Punters | 52% | ✗ | -0.05 | |||
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.16 | ||
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.4 | -0.18 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.