Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
16.16
112
14.13
97
Match complete
Adelaide won by 15 points
IN
Murphy
Keath
Knight
Atkins
Betts
Douglas
Talia
Hampton
Fogarty
Poholke
OUT
IN
Simpson
Buzza
Menzel
Taylor
Murdoch
Fogarty
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.10 |
 |
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.43 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.19 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.2 | -0.12 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.4 | -0.09 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.08 |
| Punters | |
52% | ✗ | -0.07 | ||
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.