Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
M.C.G.
18.11
119
10.9
69
Match complete
Melbourne won by 50 points
IN
Kennedy Harris
Vince
Hannan
Viney
Stretch
Smith
OUT
IN
Honeychurch
Roughead
Macrae
Bontempelli
Boyd
Crozier
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 79% | 29 points | ✓ | 20.5 | 0.65 | |
93% | 43 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.89 | ||
86% | 39 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.78 | ||
Punters | 85% | ✓ | 0.77 | |||
82% | 31 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.72 | ||
81% | 31 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.70 | ||
80% | 29 points | ✓ | 20.6 | 0.68 | ||
80% | 34 points | ✓ | 16.3 | 0.67 | ||
76% | 26 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.60 | ||
76% | 25 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.60 | ||
72% | 29 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.53 | ||
71% | 23 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.51 | ||
62% | 14 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.