Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions
University of Tasmania Stadium
9.11
65
15.8
98
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 33 points
IN
Whitecross
O'Brien
McEvoy
O'Rourke
OUT
IN
Cox
Hodge
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
76% | 26 points | ✗ | 59.2 | -1.03 |
 |
|
88% | 35 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -2.03 |
 |
|
82% | 33 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -1.47 |
 |
|
81% | 31 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -1.41 |
| Punters | |
79% | ✗ | -1.24 | ||
 |
|
78% | 38 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -1.18 |
 |
|
77% | 27 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -1.12 |
 |
|
77% | 30 points | ✗ | 62.6 | -1.12 |
 |
|
73% | 23 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.91 |
 |
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.80 |
 |
|
70% | 22 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.74 |
 |
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.71 |
 |
|
61% | 13 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.37 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.