Richmond v Hawthorn

M.C.G.

102

89

Match complete
Richmond won by 13 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Richmond
63% 14 points 0.90.33
Richmond
80% 27 points 14.00.67
Richmond
66% 16 points 3.00.40
Richmond
65% 19 points 6.00.38
Richmond
64% 13 points 0.00.37
Richmond
64% 12 points 0.90.35
Richmond
63% 17 points 4.00.33
Richmond
63% 13 points 0.00.33
Richmond
62% 11 points 2.00.31
Richmond
60% 17 points 4.00.27
Richmond
58% 7 points 6.00.21
Punters
Richmond
57% 0.18
Richmond
52% 1 point 12.00.05

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 3, 2018