Western Bulldogs v Essendon
Docklands
14.20
104
12.11
83
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 21 points
IN
Redpath
Dickson
Wallis
Roughead
Trengove
Webb
OUT
IN
Myers
Baguley
Fantasia
Hartley
Dea
Langford
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 28.1 | -0.23 |
| Punters | |
66% | ✗ | -0.56 | ||
 |
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.55 |
 |
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.38 |
 |
|
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.36 |
 |
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 30.5 | -0.28 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.25 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.21 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.21 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.