Carlton v Collingwood
M.C.G.
11.10
76
16.4
100
Match complete
Collingwood won by 24 points
IN
Kennedy
Kreuzer
Byrne
O'Shea
OUT
IN
Cox
Reid
Moore
Broomhead
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.29 |
 |
|
70% | 19 points | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.49 |
 |
|
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.44 |
 |
|
66% | 20 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.40 |
 |
|
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.37 |
| Punters | |
63% | ✓ | 0.34 | ||
 |
|
63% | 16 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.33 |
 |
|
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.31 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.28 |
 |
|
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.17 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.16 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.