St Kilda v Adelaide
2018-04-07 19:25:00
Docklands

7.13

55

15.14

104

Match complete
Adelaide won by 49 points

IN

Coffield

Marshall

White

Wright

Dunstan

Membrey

Steele

Stevens

Longer

Clark

OUT

IN

Lynch

Douglas

Crouch

Fogarty

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		66%	17 points	✓	32.3	0.41
Punters		73%		✓		0.54
		71%	20 points	✓	29.0	0.51
		71%	21 points	✓	28.0	0.50
		69%	24 points	✓	25.0	0.46
		69%	19 points	✓	30.1	0.46
		67%	22 points	✓	27.0	0.42
		67%	17 points	✓	32.0	0.42
		65%	14 points	✓	35.0	0.38
		64%	13 points	✓	36.0	0.35
		62%	11 points	✓	38.0	0.31
		60%	11 points	✓	38.0	0.26
		58%	12 points	✓	37.0	0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.