Port Adelaide v Brisbane Lions
2018-04-07 13:45:00
Adelaide Oval

14.13

97

14.8

92

Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 5 points

IN

Cutler

Robinson

McStay

Beams

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		87%	49 points	✓	43.6	0.81
		95%	53 points	✓	48.0	0.92
		93%	55 points	✓	50.0	0.90
		91%	50 points	✓	45.0	0.86
		91%	48 points	✓	42.5	0.86
		90%	48 points	✓	43.0	0.85
		90%	55 points	✓	50.0	0.85
		89%	61 points	✓	56.0	0.83
		89%	59 points	✓	54.0	0.83
Punters		89%		✓		0.83
		88%	42 points	✓	37.0	0.81
		73%	28 points	✓	23.0	0.55
		71%	36 points	✓	31.0	0.50

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.