Brisbane Lions v Carlton
Gabba
17.10
112
11.16
82
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 30 points
IN
Barrett
Gardiner
Cutler
Robertson
OUT
IN
McKay
Macreadie
Williamson
Cuningham
Thomas
Boekhorst
Sumner
Silvagni
Buckley
Byrne
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 57% | 9 points | ✗ | 39.4 | -0.20 | |
62% | 19 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.39 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 41.3 | -0.37 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.28 | ||
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.25 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.17 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.09 | ||
Punters | 52% | ✗ | -0.06 | |||
52% | ✗ | -0.05 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.