Melbourne v Port Adelaide
M.C.G.
13.10
88
9.11
65
Match complete
Melbourne won by 23 points
IN
Trengove
Salem
Tyson
Watts
Viney
Vince
Kent
Pedersen
Wagner
Smith
OUT
IN
Broadbent
Pittard
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.17 |
 |
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 35.8 | -0.41 |
 |
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.29 |
| Punters | |
57% | ✗ | -0.23 | ||
 |
|
57% | 12 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.23 |
 |
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.15 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.04 |
 |
|
52% | ✓ | 0.05 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.