Adelaide v Geelong

Adelaide Oval

91

70

Match complete
Adelaide won by 21 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
67% 21 points 0.40.43
Adelaide
77% 27 points 5.60.62
Adelaide
74% 25 points 4.00.57
Adelaide
70% 22 points 1.00.48
Adelaide
69% 25 points 4.00.46
Adelaide
67% 16 points 5.00.43
Adelaide
63% 0.33
Punters
Adelaide
63% 0.34
Adelaide
56% 9 points 12.00.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.