Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
13.13
91
10.10
70
Match complete
Adelaide won by 21 points
IN
Keath
Lever
OUT
IN
Stewart
Selwood
Parfitt
Simpson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 67% | 21 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.43 | |
77% | 27 points | ✓ | 5.6 | 0.62 | ||
74% | 25 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.57 | ||
70% | 22 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.48 | ||
69% | 25 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.46 | ||
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.43 | ||
Punters | 63% | ✓ | 0.34 | |||
63% | ✓ | 0.33 | ||||
56% | 9 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.