Essendon v North Melbourne
Docklands
20.12
132
16.9
105
Match complete
Essendon won by 27 points
IN
Laverde
Watson
Green
Bird
OUT
IN
Durdin
Williams
Larkey
Clarke
Dumont
Waite
Goldstein
Ziebell
Tarrant
Thomas
Wagner
Hibberd
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 11.8 | 0.38 |
| Punters | |
80% | ✓ | 0.68 | ||
 |
|
70% | 20 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.49 |
 |
|
67% | 19 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.43 |
 |
|
64% | 23 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.36 |
 |
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.36 |
 |
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.30 |
 |
|
57% | ✓ | 0.19 | ||
 |
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.