Fremantle v Hawthorn
Subiaco
7.6
48
15.10
100
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 52 points
IN
Deluca
McCarthy
Ryan
Cox
OUT
IN
Glass
Whitecross
Stewart
Heatherley
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 56% | 7 points | ✓ | 45.3 | 0.15 | |
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.35 | ||
60% | 16 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.26 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.19 | ||
55% | ✓ | 0.15 | ||||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.14 | ||
Punters | 54% | ✓ | 0.12 | |||
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.08 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.13 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.