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Why can’t the Eagles fly?

Posted on April 23, 2017April 23, 2017 by Max Barry

The Arc takes a look at win rates on the road:

The difference between the Eagles’ win percentage in their home state (75.6%) and interstate (53%) is 22.6% – the third largest in the league, but not a million miles away from some other quality teams.

Source: Why can’t the Eagles fly? | The Arc

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Previous PostPrevious Are North and Hawthorn bad, or have they just faced a tough draw?
Next PostNext Matter of Stats Team Dashboard for Round 5

Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 16.8 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 15.1 129%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
3
 Brisbane Lions 15.3 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Western Bulldogs 14.8 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–6
5
 Gold Coast 14.8 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
6
 Hawthorn 14.6 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–7
7
 Adelaide 14.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
8
 GWS 12.3 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
9
 Carlton 11.5 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–11
10
 Sydney 11.5 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
11
 Fremantle 11.6 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
12
 St Kilda 10.6 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
13
 Essendon 10.5 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 Port Adelaide 9.7 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Melbourne 8.1 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Richmond 6.5 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 North Melbourne 6.0 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 West Coast 3.4 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 5 games of Round 10, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 8 2 – 129.4%
+8.8
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 7∗ 1 1 112.9%
+7.8
3
3
 Gold Coast 7∗ 2 – 132.0%
+7.8
5
4
 Hawthorn 7 3 – 123.8%
+7.6
6
5
 Adelaide 6 4 – 124.7%
+8.0
7
6
 Geelong 6 4 – 123.4%
+9.1
2
7
 Western Bulldogs 5∗ 4 – 122.0%
+9.8
4
8
 GWS 5 5 – 107.4%
+7.3
8
9
 Fremantle 5 5 – 100.1%
+6.6
11
10
 Essendon 5∗ 3 – 90.8%
+5.5
13
11
 Carlton 4 6 – 106.9%
+7.5
9
12
 Sydney 4 6 – 98.7%
+7.5
10
13
 St Kilda 4∗ 5 – 93.3%
+6.6
12
14
 Port Adelaide 4 6 – 82.0%
+5.7
14
15
 Melbourne 3∗ 6 – 79.4%
+5.1
15
16
 Richmond 3∗ 6 – 66.8%
+3.5
16
17
 North Melbourne 1∗ 7 1 78.2%
+4.5
17
18
 West Coast –∗ 9 – 61.0%
+3.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 4

66 15.92 25.79 77.6%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 4

66 15.89 26.95 77.6%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 4

66 15.63 26.45 77.6%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 4

65 16.75 26.03 76.5%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 4

64 16.15 26.38 75.3%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 4

64 15.75 27.41 75.3%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 3

64 15.43 27.01 75.3%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 4

64 14.72 26.54 75.3%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 4

63 15.63 26.89 74.1%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 4

63 14.96 26.17 74.1%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 3

63 14.50 26.63 74.1%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 3

62 16.89 25.84 72.9%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 4

62 12.90 26.92 72.9%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 4

62 10.70 26.58 72.9%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 4

61 16.05 25.83 71.8%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 3

61 12.97 28.61 71.8%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 3

61 12.71 27.62 71.8%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 4

61 12.21 27.47 71.8%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 4

60 15.57 25.72 70.6%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 2

60 14.05 27.51 70.6%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 3

60 11.95 28.01 70.6%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 3

58 11.53 27.95 68.2%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 3

58 6.96 29.80 68.2%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 4

57 13.09 27.70 67.1%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 3

57 10.50 28.52 67.1%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 3

56 11.14 27.92 65.9%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 2

55 10.83 28.87 64.7%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 2

55 6.66 29.27 64.7%

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