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Why can’t the Eagles fly?

Posted on April 23, 2017April 23, 2017 by Max Barry

The Arc takes a look at win rates on the road:

The difference between the Eagles’ win percentage in their home state (75.6%) and interstate (53%) is 22.6% – the third largest in the league, but not a million miles away from some other quality teams.

Source: Why can’t the Eagles fly? | The Arc

CategoriesThe Arc

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Previous PostPrevious Are North and Hawthorn bad, or have they just faced a tough draw?
Next PostNext Matter of Stats Team Dashboard for Round 5

Wins % Range
1
 Fremantle 19.1 140%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Sydney 16.9 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Hawthorn 15.6 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Brisbane Lions 14.8 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 Adelaide 14.6 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 Melbourne 14.1 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–7
7
 Geelong 13.5 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
8
 Western Bulldogs 12.9 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
9
 Collingwood 12.3 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 GWS 11.5 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
11
 St Kilda 11.1 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–13
12
 Carlton 10.7 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 North Melbourne 10.0 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 Gold Coast 9.5 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Port Adelaide 8.7 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 West Coast 5.8 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 3.4 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Essendon 2.3 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 1 game of Round 19, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Fremantle 15∗ 2 – 142.3%
+4.1
1
2
 Sydney 13∗ 4 – 131.2%
+3.9
2
3
 Hawthorn 11∗ 5 1 114.2%
+4.1
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 11∗ 6 – 117.1%
+3.8
4
5
 Adelaide 11∗ 6 – 116.9%
+3.6
5
6
 Melbourne 11∗ 6 – 109.0%
+3.1
6
7
 Geelong 10 8 – 116.2%
+3.5
7
8
 Western Bulldogs 10∗ 7 – 92.3%
+2.9
8
9
 Collingwood 9∗ 7 1 104.5%
+2.8
9
10
 St Kilda 8 10 – 104.0%
+3.1
11
11
 GWS 8∗ 9 – 101.6%
+3.5
10
12
 Carlton 8∗ 9 – 91.9%
+2.7
12
13
 North Melbourne 8∗ 9 – 91.4%
+2.0
13
14
 Gold Coast 7∗ 10 – 95.6%
+2.5
14
15
 Port Adelaide 6∗ 11 – 101.3%
+2.7
15
16
 West Coast 4∗ 13 – 72.0%
+1.8
16
17
 Richmond 2∗ 15 – 63.0%
+1.4
17
18
 Essendon 1∗ 16 – 66.6%
+1.3
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 1

118 38.3625 38.36 25.1268 25.13 76.6234 76.6%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 1

117 26.0655 26.07 25.3040 25.30 75.9740 76.0%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 1

116 36.9858 36.99 24.8127 24.81 75.3247 75.3%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 1

115 39.1090 39.11 25.8312 25.83 74.6753 74.7%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 1

114 38.8983 38.90 25.3405 25.34 74.0260 74.0%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 1

114 38.0548 38.05 25.4127 25.41 74.0260 74.0%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 1

113 39.3041 39.30 25.2414 25.24 73.3766 73.4%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 1

113 36.8812 36.88 25.3264 25.33 73.3766 73.4%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 1

113 33.9869 33.99 25.9310 25.93 73.3766 73.4%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 1

112 40.0178 40.02 25.7199 25.72 72.7273 72.7%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 1

112 34.5919 34.59 25.7116 25.71 72.7273 72.7%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 1

111 37.3230 37.32 26.6818 26.68 72.0779 72.1%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 1

111 36.3655 36.37 26.0601 26.06 72.0779 72.1%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 1

110 37.3630 37.36 26.1191 26.12 71.4286 71.4%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 1

110 36.7771 36.78 25.2345 25.23 71.4286 71.4%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 1

110 35.5815 35.58 26.2662 26.27 71.4286 71.4%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 1

110 32.8083 32.81 25.6773 25.68 71.4286 71.4%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 1

110 27.8952 27.90 26.3987 26.40 †1 71.8954 71.9%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 1

109 36.8649 36.86 25.3782 25.38 70.7792 70.8%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 1

109 35.2106 35.21 25.6236 25.62 70.7792 70.8%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8

109 32.2549 32.25 27.1909 27.19 †2 71.7105 71.7%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 1

108 29.2477 29.25 25.8844 25.88 70.1299 70.1%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 1

107 32.8901 32.89 25.6994 25.70 69.4805 69.5%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 1

106 35.1663 35.17 26.9327 26.93 68.8312 68.8%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 1

106 34.9305 34.93 25.8247 25.82 68.8312 68.8%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 1

105 33.4249 33.42 27.0844 27.08 68.1818 68.2%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 1

105 32.0505 32.05 25.9964 26.00 68.1818 68.2%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 1

105 29.2127 29.21 26.8386 26.84 68.1818 68.2%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 1

104 30.0553 30.06 27.2208 27.22 67.5325 67.5%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 1

103 30.6767 30.68 26.5034 26.50 †9 71.0345 71.0%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 1

92 32.8047 32.80 26.7713 26.77 †25 71.3178 71.3%

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