Skip to content
Squiggle
@squiggle.au @SquiggleAFL Discord

Why can’t the Eagles fly?

Posted on April 23, 2017April 23, 2017 by Max Barry

The Arc takes a look at win rates on the road:

The difference between the Eagles’ win percentage in their home state (75.6%) and interstate (53%) is 22.6% – the third largest in the league, but not a million miles away from some other quality teams.

Source: Why can’t the Eagles fly? | The Arc

CategoriesThe Arc

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Are North and Hawthorn bad, or have they just faced a tough draw?
Next PostNext Matter of Stats Team Dashboard for Round 5

Wins % Range
1
 Collingwood 18.1 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 16.3 136%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Adelaide 15.3 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
4
 Western Bulldogs 14.8 136%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
5
 Brisbane Lions 15.0 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–5
6
 Gold Coast 14.3 119%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Hawthorn 14.2 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Fremantle 13.5 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
9
 GWS 12.9 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Sydney 10.6 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
11
 Carlton 10.0 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
12
 Port Adelaide 9.8 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
13
 Melbourne 9.0 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–14
14
 St Kilda 8.9 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 Essendon 8.9 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 North Melbourne 6.8 78%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 5.2 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 West Coast 3.3 67%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 5 games of Round 16, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Collingwood 13 2 – 135.8%
+5.1
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 10 4 1 113.4%
+4.5
5
3
 Geelong 10 5 – 127.5%
+6.3
2
4
 Hawthorn 10 5 – 118.4%
+4.2
7
5
 Adelaide 9∗ 5 – 135.2%
+6.3
3
6
 Western Bulldogs 9 6 – 131.5%
+5.8
4
7
 Gold Coast 9∗ 5 – 120.3%
+5.3
6
8
 Fremantle 9∗ 5 – 110.0%
+4.5
8
9
 GWS 9 6 – 107.6%
+3.9
9
10
 Port Adelaide 7 8 – 88.6%
+2.8
12
11
 Carlton 6 9 – 100.4%
+4.0
11
12
 Sydney 6 9 – 92.1%
+4.6
10
13
 Essendon 6∗ 8 – 77.5%
+2.9
15
14
 Melbourne 5 10 – 86.7%
+4.0
13
15
 St Kilda 5∗ 9 – 86.2%
+3.9
14
16
 North Melbourne 4 10 1 78.5%
+2.3
16
17
 Richmond 3∗ 11 – 66.6%
+2.2
17
18
 West Coast 1 14 – 65.2%
+2.3
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 4

99 22.86 27.11 75.0%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 5

98 20.56 27.47 74.2%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 5

97 22.29 27.63 73.5%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 5

97 22.13 26.92 73.5%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 5

97 20.89 27.24 73.5%
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 5

96 23.84 26.66 72.7%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 4

96 23.20 26.67 72.7%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 5

96 22.00 26.83 72.7%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 5

96 21.82 28.54 72.7%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 4

96 21.77 26.81 72.7%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 4

95 21.40 28.09 72.0%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 4

94 23.98 26.64 71.2%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 5

93 20.20 27.61 70.5%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 4

92 22.39 26.63 69.7%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 4

92 21.47 27.10 69.7%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 4

92 20.18 27.74 69.7%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 5

92 19.43 27.08 69.7%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 4

92 19.35 27.61 69.7%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 4

91 22.19 26.64 68.9%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 4

91 22.18 27.36 68.9%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 5

91 14.00 29.24 68.9%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 5

89 20.97 27.46 67.4%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 4

89 19.14 28.25 67.4%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 5

88 17.98 28.78 66.7%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 5

86 19.06 27.79 65.2%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 4

86 11.03 29.19 65.2%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 4

85 16.85 28.84 64.4%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 4

84 16.16 28.38 63.6%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Live Squiggle

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
  • Massey Ratings
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Footycast
  • AFL Scorigami
  • Data by Josh
  • Elo Predicts!
  • Stattraction
  • The Wooden Finger
  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
  • What Snoo Thinks
  • Informed Stats
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.