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Time in front vs wins

Posted on June 28, 2017 by Max Barry

Although Geelong & W Bulldogs have spent less than half the season in front, both have a winning record.

North & Essendon are the opposite. pic.twitter.com/PZVTb5kWHu

— InsightLane (@insightlane) June 28, 2017

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Wins % Range
1
Fremantle 19.7 142%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Sydney 17.2 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Hawthorn 16.1 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3
4
Geelong 14.9 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4
5
Brisbane Lions 14.0 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
6
Adelaide 14.0 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
7
Western Bulldogs 13.3 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–8
8
Melbourne 12.9 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
7–9
9
Collingwood 11.4 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–10
10
Carlton 11.0 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
9–13
11
Gold Coast 10.7 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10–13
12
St Kilda 10.4 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–13
13
North Melbourne 10.3 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
9–14
14
GWS 9.9 99%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12–14
15
Port Adelaide 8.8 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
16
West Coast 6.0 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
17
Richmond 3.5 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
18
Essendon 2.6 69%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After Round 16, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Fremantle 14 1 – 148.2%
+5.7
1
2
Sydney 12 3 – 135.7%
+5.2
2
3
Hawthorn 10 4 1 113.7%
+5.6
3
4
Geelong 9 6 – 120.6%
+5.9
4
5
Brisbane Lions 9 6 – 111.0%
+5.0
5
6
Adelaide 9 6 – 110.0%
+5.0
6
7
Melbourne 9 6 – 104.2%
+3.9
8
8
Western Bulldogs 9 6 – 92.8%
+4.3
7
9
North Melbourne 8 7 – 92.2%
+2.3
13
10
Collingwood 7 7 1 104.3%
+3.9
9
11
Gold Coast 7 8 – 101.2%
+3.7
11
12
Carlton 7 8 – 95.6%
+4.0
10
13
St Kilda 6 9 – 100.6%
+4.4
12
14
GWS 6 9 – 99.3%
+3.9
14
15
Port Adelaide 5 10 – 100.8%
+3.8
15
16
West Coast 4 11 – 71.3%
+2.0
16
17
Richmond 2 13 – 61.8%
+1.5
17
18
Essendon 1 14 – 71.0%
+1.6
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6

104 32.8913 32.89 25.1221 25.12 77.0370 77.0%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5

102 32.0634 32.06 24.6984 24.70 75.5556 75.6%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5

102 22.3522 22.35 25.3263 25.33 75.5556 75.6%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6

100 32.7430 32.74 25.4113 25.41 74.0741 74.1%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6

100 32.5757 32.58 25.9778 25.98 74.0741 74.1%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6

99 33.7200 33.72 25.1948 25.19 73.3333 73.3%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6

99 31.5777 31.58 25.5819 25.58 73.3333 73.3%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6

99 31.3561 31.36 25.3077 25.31 73.3333 73.3%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6

99 27.9181 27.92 26.1005 26.10 73.3333 73.3%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6

98 34.1053 34.11 25.7441 25.74 72.5926 72.6%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5

98 30.0384 30.04 25.5598 25.56 72.5926 72.6%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6

97 31.4229 31.42 26.0133 26.01 71.8519 71.9%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5

97 31.3334 31.33 26.9481 26.95 71.8519 71.9%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6

96 31.7484 31.75 26.3145 26.31 71.1111 71.1%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6

96 28.3219 28.32 25.6126 25.61 71.1111 71.1%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5

96 25.7204 25.72 27.3787 27.38 †1 71.6418 71.6%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6

95 31.8716 31.87 25.3084 25.31 70.3704 70.4%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6

95 31.2517 31.25 25.1973 25.20 70.3704 70.4%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6

95 30.8364 30.84 26.2741 26.27 70.3704 70.4%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5

95 29.9147 29.91 25.7347 25.73 70.3704 70.4%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6

93 29.5552 29.56 27.1079 27.11 68.8889 68.9%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6

93 24.6887 24.69 26.0074 26.01 68.8889 68.9%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5

92 29.8229 29.82 25.7111 25.71 68.1481 68.1%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5

92 26.6231 26.62 25.8259 25.83 68.1481 68.1%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5

92 25.6233 25.62 26.6233 26.62 68.1481 68.1%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5

91 27.9623 27.96 27.1926 27.19 67.4074 67.4%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5

91 27.5349 27.53 25.9081 25.91 67.4074 67.4%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6

90 23.8944 23.89 26.9111 26.91 66.6667 66.7%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5

88 25.1490 25.15 26.4365 26.44 †9 69.8413 69.8%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5

87 22.0907 22.09 26.9587 26.96 †14 71.9008 71.9%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6

78 26.4767 26.48 26.8273 26.83 †25 70.9091 70.9%

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