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Squiggle Dots

Posted on July 30, 2018 by Max Barry

This week I’ve been teaching coloured dots to play footy. They have a lot to learn. pic.twitter.com/JWUCvEsz5m

— Squiggle (@SquiggleAFL) July 26, 2018

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Wins % Range
1
Western Bulldogs 16.0 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–2
2
Hawthorn 15.6 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1–3
3
Sydney 15.1 134%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2–4
4
Fremantle 14.7 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3–5
5
Brisbane Lions 14.3 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–6
6
Gold Coast 13.6 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–7
7
Geelong 13.7 113%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4–7
8
Adelaide 12.0 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
9
Melbourne 12.2 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–10
10
Collingwood 11.4 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
9–10
11
GWS 10.7 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
12
St Kilda 10.3 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–13
13
North Melbourne 10.2 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–14
14
Port Adelaide 9.6 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
15
Carlton 8.2 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15–16
16
West Coast 7.9 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15–16
17
Essendon 6.0 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
18
Richmond 5.4 68%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18

After 2 games of Round 5, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Western Bulldogs 4∗ – – 140.4%
+12.0
1
2
Fremantle 4 1 – 131.4%
+10.7
4
3
Sydney 3∗ 1 – 182.9%
+12.1
3
4
Gold Coast 3∗ 1 – 152.6%
+10.6
6
5
North Melbourne 3∗ 1 – 115.3%
+7.2
13
6
Hawthorn 3∗ 1 – 114.0%
+12.6
2
7
Melbourne 3∗ 1 – 102.0%
+9.2
9
8
Port Adelaide 2∗ 2 – 117.6%
+7.6
14
9
Brisbane Lions 2∗ 2 – 110.6%
+12.3
5
10
Adelaide 2 3 – 106.4%
+10.0
8
11
Collingwood 2 3 – 92.3%
+9.4
10
12
Geelong 2∗ 2 – 89.7%
+11.7
7
13
West Coast 2∗ 2 – 64.9%
+5.9
16
14
St Kilda 1∗ 3 – 86.0%
+9.3
12
15
GWS 1∗ 3 – 76.9%
+9.7
11
16
Carlton 1 4 – 76.6%
+7.2
15
17
Essendon –∗ 4 – 62.7%
+6.0
17
18
Richmond –∗ 4 – 56.1%
+5.4
18

∗ Yet to play

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 2

30 9.7604 9.76 23.1632 23.16 78.9474 78.9%
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 2

29 9.4854 9.49 25.1837 25.18 76.3158 76.3%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 2

29 5.5182 5.52 25.2426 25.24 76.3158 76.3%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 2

28 9.9702 9.97 24.7184 24.72 73.6842 73.7%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 2

28 8.7104 8.71 24.6668 24.67 73.6842 73.7%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 2

28 8.6315 8.63 24.7095 24.71 73.6842 73.7%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 2

28 7.8376 7.84 25.1076 25.11 73.6842 73.7%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 2

28 7.7874 7.79 25.5168 25.52 73.6842 73.7%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 2

28 7.6738 7.67 24.8916 24.89 73.6842 73.7%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 2

28 7.6725 7.67 24.8158 24.82 73.6842 73.7%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 2

27 9.1294 9.13 24.4174 24.42 71.0526 71.1%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 2

27 8.6546 8.65 25.1479 25.15 71.0526 71.1%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 2

27 7.8071 7.81 24.5403 24.54 71.0526 71.1%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 2

27 7.4107 7.41 26.2368 26.24 71.0526 71.1%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 2

27 5.8577 5.86 25.5526 25.55 71.0526 71.1%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 2

26 8.9964 9.00 24.9753 24.98 68.4211 68.4%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 2

26 8.5803 8.58 25.1184 25.12 68.4211 68.4%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 1

26 6.5618 6.56 26.2853 26.29 68.4211 68.4%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 2

26 6.5331 6.53 26.2895 26.29 68.4211 68.4%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 2

26 6.4500 6.45 26.8421 26.84 68.4211 68.4%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 2

26 3.7859 3.79 28.0263 28.03 68.4211 68.4%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 2

25 7.5016 7.50 26.0789 26.08 65.7895 65.8%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 2

25 7.1978 7.20 24.8692 24.87 65.7895 65.8%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 2

25 7.1348 7.13 25.1174 25.12 65.7895 65.8%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 2

25 5.8862 5.89 26.2711 26.27 65.7895 65.8%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 2

25 4.4699 4.47 26.7421 26.74 65.7895 65.8%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 2

24 7.7619 7.76 25.7403 25.74 63.1579 63.2%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 2

24 7.7600 7.76 25.1387 25.14 63.1579 63.2%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 1

22 4.2572 4.26 27.5000 27.50 57.8947 57.9%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 0

17 0.5279 0.53 26.7931 26.79 †9 58.6207 58.6%
Massey Ratings

2 4 1

7 1.1750 1.18 33.1923 33.19 †25 53.8462 53.8%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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