Sydney v Hawthorn

S.C.G.

74

83

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 9 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Sydney
52% 2 points 11.4-0.06
Sydney
65% 13 points 22.0-0.51
Sydney
64% 18 points 27.0-0.47
Sydney
63% 11 points 20.0-0.43
Sydney
62% 13 points 22.0-0.41
Sydney
62% 11 points 20.0-0.38
Sydney
54% 4 points 13.0-0.13
Sydney
54% 3 points 12.0-0.11
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 7.70.02
Punters
Hawthorn
53% 0.08
Hawthorn
57% 7 points 2.00.20
Hawthorn
58% 7 points 1.90.23
Hawthorn
81% 31 points 22.00.70

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 23, 2018