Carlton v Adelaide
2018-08-25 19:25:00
Docklands

8.13

61

26.9

165

Match complete
Adelaide won by 104 points

IN

Kerridge

Dow

OUT

IN

Himmelberg

Keath

Ellis-Yolmen

Sloane

Doedee

Cheney

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		80%	32 points	✓	72.5	0.67
		90%	45 points	✓	59.0	0.85
		90%	39 points	✓	65.0	0.85
		89%	45 points	✓	58.8	0.84
		83%	35 points	✓	69.0	0.73
Punters		82%		✓		0.72
		80%	31 points	✓	73.0	0.67
		76%	27 points	✓	77.1	0.60
		76%	25 points	✓	79.0	0.60
		75%	28 points	✓	76.0	0.58
		73%	31 points	✓	73.0	0.55
		72%	20 points	✓	84.0	0.53
		70%	21 points	✓	83.0	0.49

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.