Carlton v Adelaide

Docklands

61

165

Match complete
Adelaide won by 104 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
80% 32 points 72.50.67
Adelaide
90% 45 points 59.00.85
Adelaide
90% 39 points 65.00.85
Adelaide
89% 45 points 58.80.84
Adelaide
83% 35 points 69.00.73
Punters
Adelaide
82% 0.72
Adelaide
80% 31 points 73.00.67
Adelaide
76% 27 points 77.10.60
Adelaide
76% 25 points 79.00.60
Adelaide
75% 28 points 76.00.58
Adelaide
73% 31 points 73.00.55
Adelaide
72% 20 points 84.00.53
Adelaide
70% 21 points 83.00.49

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 23, 2018