Richmond v Western Bulldogs
M.C.G.
15.8
98
14.11
95
Match complete
Richmond won by 3 points
IN
Astbury
Prestia
Cotchin
Lloyd
Garthwaite
Baker
OUT
IN
Smith
Williams
Jong
Dickson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 87% | 42 points | ✓ | 39.4 | 0.79 | |
97% | 57 points | ✓ | 54.0 | 0.96 | ||
94% | 56 points | ✓ | 53.3 | 0.90 | ||
93% | 49 points | ✓ | 46.1 | 0.90 | ||
93% | 49 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.89 | ||
92% | 51 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.88 | ||
Punters | 88% | ✓ | 0.81 | |||
84% | 36 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.75 | ||
83% | 33 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.73 | ||
82% | 46 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.71 | ||
81% | 30 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.69 | ||
77% | 30 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.62 | ||
75% | 29 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.59 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.