Port Adelaide v Essendon
Adelaide Oval
13.11
89
17.9
111
Match complete
Essendon won by 22 points
IN
Frampton
Neade
Powell-Pepper
Rockliff
Bonner
Johnson
OUT
IN
Laverde
Leuenberger
Bellchambers
Dea
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 27.1 | -0.17 |
 |
|
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.52 |
 |
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.51 |
 |
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.44 |
| Punters | |
59% | ✗ | -0.29 | ||
 |
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.29 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.16 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.11 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.04 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.