Port Adelaide v Essendon

Adelaide Oval

89

111

Match complete
Essendon won by 22 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
56% 5 points 27.1-0.17
Port Adelaide
65% 16 points 38.0-0.52
Port Adelaide
65% 14 points 36.0-0.51
Port Adelaide
63% 12 points 34.0-0.44
Port Adelaide
59% 11 points 33.0-0.29
Punters
Port Adelaide
59% -0.29
Port Adelaide
55% 5 points 27.0-0.16
Port Adelaide
54% 3 points 25.0-0.11
Port Adelaide
53% 3 points 25.0-0.09
Port Adelaide
51% 1 point 23.0-0.03
Port Adelaide
51% 0 points 22.5-0.04
Essendon
52% 2 points 20.00.06
Essendon
58% 7 points 15.00.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 23, 2018