Gold Coast v Brisbane Lions

Carrara

74

78

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 4 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Brisbane Lions
72% 22 points 17.90.53
Brisbane Lions
85% 33 points 29.00.77
Brisbane Lions
78% 24 points 20.00.64
Brisbane Lions
77% 28 points 24.50.63
Punters
Brisbane Lions
77% 0.62
Brisbane Lions
75% 26 points 21.90.58
Brisbane Lions
75% 25 points 21.00.59
Brisbane Lions
73% 22 points 18.00.54
Brisbane Lions
72% 29 points 25.00.53
Brisbane Lions
69% 21 points 17.00.47
Brisbane Lions
68% 17 points 13.00.45
Brisbane Lions
62% 10 points 6.00.31
Brisbane Lions
56% 5 points 1.00.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 22, 2018