Richmond v Essendon
2018-08-17 19:50:00
M.C.G.

12.9

81

11.7

73

Match complete
Richmond won by 8 points

IN

Baker

Garthwaite

Lloyd

Conca

Nankervis

Cotchin

Lambert

Prestia

Astbury

Soldo

OUT

IN

Guelfi

Dea

Fantasia

McNiece

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		71%	21 points	✓	12.9	0.51
		82%	26 points	✓	18.0	0.71
		82%	31 points	✓	23.0	0.71
		79%	30 points	✓	22.0	0.65
		76%	22 points	✓	14.0	0.60
		75%	23 points	✓	15.2	0.58
		70%	20 points	✓	12.1	0.49
		68%	24 points	✓	16.0	0.44
		67%	19 points	✓	11.0	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	7.0	0.43
Punters		66%		✓		0.41
		65%	14 points	✓	6.0	0.37
		57%	6 points	✓	2.0	0.18

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.