Geelong v Fremantle
GMHBA Stadium

24.14
158

3.7
25
Match complete
Geelong won by 133 points
IN
Abbott
Thurlow
Murdoch
Taylor
Stanley
Parsons
Fogarty
Narkle
OUT
IN
Banfield
Fyfe
Ryan
Switkowski
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | ![]() |
85% | 39 points | ✓ | 93.8 | 0.76 |
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94% | 55 points | ✓ | 78.0 | 0.91 |
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92% | 49 points | ✓ | 83.5 | 0.89 |
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92% | 41 points | ✓ | 92.0 | 0.88 |
Punters | ![]() |
91% | ✓ | 0.86 | ||
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89% | 42 points | ✓ | 91.0 | 0.84 |
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89% | 45 points | ✓ | 88.0 | 0.83 |
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87% | 40 points | ✓ | 93.0 | 0.80 |
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85% | 41 points | ✓ | 91.8 | 0.77 |
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84% | 50 points | ✓ | 83.0 | 0.75 |
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78% | 32 points | ✓ | 101.0 | 0.64 |
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74% | 27 points | ✓ | 106.0 | 0.57 |
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60% | 9 points | ✓ | 124.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.