Collingwood v Port Adelaide
2018-08-18 13:45:00
M.C.G.

17.13

115

10.4

64

Match complete
Collingwood won by 51 points

IN

Murphy

Murray

OUT

IN

Hombsch

Bonner

Dixon

Clurey

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		63%	12 points	✓	39.4	0.33
		76%	22 points	✓	28.7	0.61
		67%	15 points	✓	36.0	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	35.8	0.40
		65%	12 points	✓	39.0	0.38
		65%	11 points	✓	40.0	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	38.0	0.37
Punters		65%		✓		0.37
		62%	16 points	✓	35.0	0.31
		59%	7 points	✓	44.0	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	44.0	0.21
		57%	8 points	✓	43.0	0.20
		51%	1 point	✓	50.0	0.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.