Port Adelaide v Geelong

Adelaide Oval
14.7
91
17.10
112

Geelong won by 21 points

IN
Bergman
Fantasia
OUT
IN
O'Connor
Duncan
Blicavs
Dangerfield
Stanley
Narkle
Guthrie
Holmes
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
53% 3 points 24.0-0.09
The Flag
Port Adelaide
72% 19 points 40.0-0.82
The Cruncher
Port Adelaide
63% 12 points 33.4-0.45
Stattraction
Port Adelaide
56% 5 points 26.0-0.17
Live Ladders
Port Adelaide
55% 4 points 25.0-0.16
PlusSixOne
Port Adelaide
55% 5 points 26.1-0.16
Footy Maths Institute
Port Adelaide
55% 7 points 28.0-0.15
ZaphBot
Port Adelaide
55% 5 points 26.0-0.15
Massey Ratings
Port Adelaide
55% 3 points 23.5-0.14
Glicko Ratings
Port Adelaide
54% 3 points 24.3-0.12
AFLalytics
Port Adelaide
51% 1 point 21.7-0.02
s10
Port Adelaide
51% 1 point 21.6-0.02
Graft
Port Adelaide
51% 1 point 22.0-0.01
Punters
Geelong
53% 3 points 18.30.08
Cheap Stats
Geelong
53% 2 points 19.00.08
Matter of Stats
Geelong
54% 3 points 18.00.10
Squiggle
Geelong
56% 5 points 15.80.15
AFL Lab
Geelong
56% 4 points 16.60.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 13, 2021