Sydney v Hawthorn
S.C.G.
7.9
51
14.5
89
Hawthorn won by 38 points
IN
Bell
Warner
OUT
IN
Newcombe
Day
Morrison
Ceglar
O'Meara
Lewis
Cousins
Reeves
Greaves
Morris
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
77% | 28 points | ✗ | 65.8 | -1.13 |
|
|
91% | 46 points | ✗ | 84.0 | -2.43 |
|
|
82% | 31 points | ✗ | 68.9 | -1.51 |
|
Punters
|
|
81% | 29 points | ✗ | 66.9 | -1.41 |
|
|
81% | 35 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -1.40 |
|
|
81% | 27 points | ✗ | 65.3 | -1.36 |
|
|
81% | 25 points | ✗ | 62.5 | -1.36 |
|
|
80% | 29 points | ✗ | 66.7 | -1.33 |
|
|
76% | 29 points | ✗ | 67.2 | -1.03 |
|
|
75% | 25 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -1.02 |
|
|
75% | 35 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
75% | 28 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -1.00 |
|
s10
|
|
75% | 23 points | ✗ | 61.5 | -0.99 |
|
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.97 |
|
|
73% | 25 points | ✗ | 63.2 | -0.89 |
|
|
71% | 23 points | ✗ | 60.6 | -0.80 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 53.9 | -0.70 |
|
|
69% | 20 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.67 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.