St Kilda v Adelaide
Cazaly's Stadium
8.12
60
9.12
66
Adelaide won by 6 points
IN
Hunter
Highmore
Lonie
Long
Ross
Membrey
Geary
Clavarino
OUT
IN
Worrell
Berry
Sholl
O'Connor
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.25 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 20.7 | -0.62 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 17.2 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.43 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 13.9 | -0.22 |
|
s10
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.3 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.8 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.6 | -0.13 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.4 | -0.09 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.05 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.