Fremantle v Hawthorn
Optus Stadium
7.11
53
17.10
112
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 59 points
IN
Brayshaw
Darcy
Hill
Johnson
McCarthy
Hughes
OUT
IN
O'Meara
Burgoyne
Howe
Morrison
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 64% | 12 points | ✓ | 46.5 | 0.35 | |
79% | 28 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.66 | ||
71% | 18 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.50 | ||
Punters | 68% | ✓ | 0.44 | |||
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.41 | ||
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.41 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 47.6 | 0.32 | ||
59% | 11 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.24 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.23 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.22 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.18 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 54.0 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.