Essendon v Sydney
Docklands
15.19
109
10.6
66
Match complete
Essendon won by 43 points
IN
Francis
McKenna
Stringer
Colyer
McKernan
McNiece
OUT
IN
Dawson
Grundy
Marsh
Cameron
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 38.8 | 0.14 |
 |
|
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 25.8 | 0.47 |
 |
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.39 |
 |
|
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 29.5 | 0.36 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.21 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.20 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.20 |
| Punters | |
56% | ✓ | 0.17 | ||
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.07 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.14 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.17 |
 |
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.18 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.