Adelaide v Melbourne

Adelaide Oval

77

90

Match complete
Melbourne won by 13 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
51% 2 points 11.20.03
Melbourne
69% 18 points 5.00.47
Melbourne
55% 6 points 7.00.15
Melbourne
55% 5 points 7.90.12
Melbourne
53% 4 points 9.00.09
Melbourne
53% 2 points 10.90.09
Melbourne
51% 2 points 11.00.04
Melbourne
50% 0 points 13.00.01
Adelaide
53% 4 points 17.0-0.09
Adelaide
54% 3 points 16.0-0.11
Punters
Adelaide
55% -0.17
Adelaide
55% 5 points 18.0-0.15
Adelaide
56% 5 points 18.0-0.18

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 19, 2018