Gold Coast v Carlton

Carrara

44

79

Match complete
Carlton won by 35 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Gold Coast
65% 13 points 48.2-0.50
Gold Coast
73% 18 points 53.0-0.86
Gold Coast
72% 22 points 57.3-0.82
Gold Coast
70% 18 points 53.0-0.74
Gold Coast
70% 18 points 53.0-0.74
Punters
Gold Coast
70% -0.72
Gold Coast
69% 18 points 53.0-0.70
Gold Coast
64% 12 points 47.3-0.48
Gold Coast
63% 13 points 48.0-0.41
Gold Coast
61% 10 points 45.0-0.36
Gold Coast
57% 9 points 44.0-0.22
Gold Coast
54% 4 points 39.0-0.11
Gold Coast
54% 3 points 38.0-0.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 19, 2018