West Coast v Collingwood
Perth Stadium
11.9
75
12.4
76
ELIMINATION FINAL
Collingwood won by 1 point
IN
Redden
Cripps
McGovern
Shuey
Schofield
Rotham
Foley
Williams
OUT
IN
Cameron
Mayne
Varcoe
Brown
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 11.8 | -0.46 | |
79% | 24 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -1.25 | ||
Punters
|
68% | 13 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.66 | |
68% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.62 | ||
67% | 12 points | ✗ | 13.2 | -0.61 | ||
66% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.55 | ||
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.1 | -0.48 | ||
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 13.7 | -0.45 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.43 | ||
s10
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.41 | |
61% | 7 points | ✗ | 7.7 | -0.36 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.35 | ||
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.34 | ||
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.25 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 8.6 | -0.23 | ||
56% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.4 | -0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.