Port Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
9.4
58
5.12
42
QUALIFYING FINAL
Port Adelaide won by 16 points
IN
Butters
Burton
Clurey
Bonner
Lienert
Woodcock
OUT
IN
Atkins
Stanley
Steven
Ratugolea
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 13.1 | 0.11 |
|
|
64% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 10.1 | 0.20 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.16 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 10.8 | 0.15 |
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 12.2 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.05 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 19.6 | -0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.