Brisbane Lions v Richmond
Gabba
10.9
69
8.6
54
QUALIFYING FINAL
Brisbane Lions won by 15 points
IN
Berry
Andrews
Ellis-Yolmen
Payne
OUT
IN
Bolton
Prestia
Caddy
Ross
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 16.2 | -0.05 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.41 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.2 | -0.10 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 14.7 | 0.04 |
|
s10
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 11.1 | 0.14 |
|
|
66% | 10 points | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.39 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.