Collingwood v Carlton
M.C.G.
11.13
79
9.5
59
Match complete
Collingwood won by 20 points
IN
Appleby
Wells
OUT
IN
Polson
O'Shea
Garlett
Kennedy
Mullett
Casboult
Kerridge
Graham
Lang
Kerr
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
84% | 38 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.75 |
 |
|
96% | 54 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.94 |
 |
|
92% | 46 points | ✓ | 25.8 | 0.87 |
| Punters | |
90% | ✓ | 0.85 | ||
 |
|
87% | 45 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.80 |
 |
|
86% | 39 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.77 |
 |
|
85% | 36 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.77 |
 |
|
85% | 37 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.77 |
 |
|
84% | 40 points | ✓ | 20.4 | 0.74 |
 |
|
83% | 35 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.73 |
 |
|
77% | 37 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.62 |
 |
|
76% | 29 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.60 |
 |
|
69% | 20 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.46 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.