Port Adelaide v Melbourne

Adelaide Oval

75

65

Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 10 points

IN
Jonas
Hombsch
OUT
IN
Smith
Tyson
Pedersen
Spargo
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
56% 6 points 4.00.17
Squiggle
Port Adelaide
64% 14 points 3.70.35
Matter of Stats
Port Adelaide
63% 11 points 1.00.34
Swinburne
Port Adelaide
62% 11 points 1.00.31
The Arc
Port Adelaide
62% 10 points 0.00.30
Footy Maths Institute
Port Adelaide
60% 12 points 2.00.26
Live Ladders
Port Adelaide
58% 7 points 3.00.22
Punters
Port Adelaide
57% 0.20
Massey Ratings
Port Adelaide
57% 6 points 4.00.20
PlusSixOne
Port Adelaide
57% 8 points 2.00.19
Graft
Port Adelaide
54% 4 points 6.00.10
Stattraction
Melbourne
53% 3 points 13.0-0.08
HPN
Melbourne
65% 14 points 24.0-0.53

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 14, 2018