Port Adelaide v Melbourne

Adelaide Oval

75

65

Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 10 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
56% 6 points 4.00.17
Port Adelaide
64% 14 points 3.70.35
Port Adelaide
63% 11 points 1.00.34
Port Adelaide
62% 11 points 1.00.31
Port Adelaide
62% 10 points 0.00.30
Port Adelaide
60% 12 points 2.00.26
Port Adelaide
58% 7 points 3.00.22
Port Adelaide
57% 8 points 2.00.19
Port Adelaide
57% 6 points 4.00.20
Punters
Port Adelaide
57% 0.20
Port Adelaide
54% 4 points 6.00.10
Melbourne
53% 3 points 13.0-0.08
Melbourne
65% 14 points 24.0-0.53

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 14, 2018