Port Adelaide v Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
11.9
75
9.11
65
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 10 points
IN
Jonas
Hombsch
OUT
IN
Smith
Tyson
Pedersen
Spargo
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 56% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.17 | |
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 3.7 | 0.35 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.34 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.31 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.30 | ||
60% | 12 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.26 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.22 | ||
Punters | 57% | ✓ | 0.20 | |||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.20 | ||
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.19 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.10 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.08 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.53 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.