Brisbane Lions v Greater Western Sydney
Gabba
12.10
82
16.13
109
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 27 points
IN
Walker
Mathieson
McStay
Keays
OUT
IN
Simpson
Finlayson
Coniglio
Lobb
Lloyd
Perryman
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 65% | 14 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.37 | |
73% | 22 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.55 | ||
Punters | 71% | ✓ | 0.51 | |||
70% | 20 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.49 | ||
66% | 21 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.37 | ||
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.33 | ||
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 14.3 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.30 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.29 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.