Hawthorn v Gold Coast
2018-06-23 13:45:00
University of Tasmania Stadium

13.18

96

5.13

43

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 53 points

IN

O'Brien

Frawley

Brand

Ceglar

OUT

IN

Dawson

Wright

Thompson

Bowes

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		87%	45 points	✓	8.3	0.81
		95%	53 points	✓	0.0	0.93
		94%	57 points	✓	4.0	0.91
		94%	50 points	✓	2.9	0.91
Punters		93%		✓		0.89
		89%	51 points	✓	2.4	0.84
		89%	49 points	✓	4.0	0.83
		89%	45 points	✓	8.0	0.83
		89%	41 points	✓	12.0	0.82
		86%	39 points	✓	14.0	0.78
		85%	53 points	✓	0.0	0.77
		75%	30 points	✓	23.0	0.59
		72%	24 points	✓	29.0	0.52

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.