Fremantle v St Kilda
Optus Stadium
13.11
89
8.11
59
Match complete
Fremantle won by 30 points
IN
Nyhuis
Pearce
Johnson
Hill
Wilson
Hughes
OUT
IN
Phillips
Acres
McCartin
Long
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 61% | 10 points | ✓ | 19.6 | 0.28 | |
70% | 18 points | ✓ | 12.2 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 16 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.48 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.46 | ||
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.42 | ||
65% | 17 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.38 | ||
Punters | 64% | ✓ | 0.35 | |||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 17 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.31 | ||
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.19 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.04 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.03 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.