Collingwood v Geelong
M.C.G.
5.15
45
9.12
66
Match complete
Geelong won by 21 points
IN
Brown
Wells
Pendlebury
Blair
OUT
IN
Horlin-Smith
Parsons
Taylor
Ablett
Smith
Hawkins
Stanley
Selwood
Guthrie
Fogarty
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.18 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.28 |
 |
|
60% | 12 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.26 |
 |
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.26 |
 |
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.25 |
| Punters | |
59% | ✓ | 0.24 | ||
 |
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.23 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.20 |
 |
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.8 | 0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.