Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions
Docklands
16.11
107
14.9
93
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 14 points
IN
Webb
Bontempelli
Jong
English
OUT
IN
Robertson
Allison
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 69% | 20 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.47 | |
76% | 21 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.60 | ||
75% | 25 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.58 | ||
74% | 23 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.57 | ||
74% | 32 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.57 | ||
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 8.4 | 0.56 | ||
68% | 18 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.45 | ||
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.45 | ||
Punters | 67% | ✓ | 0.42 | |||
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.41 | ||
66% | 18 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.40 | ||
63% | 18 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.32 | ||
59% | 10 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.