Carlton v Essendon
M.C.G.
14.7
91
10.18
78
Match complete
Carlton won by 13 points
IN
Lamb
Lang
Curnow
Casboult
Kennedy
Phillips
OUT
IN
McKernan
Fantasia
Daniher
McGrath
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 24.6 | -0.40 |
 |
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.74 |
 |
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.74 |
| Punters | |
67% | ✗ | -0.60 | ||
 |
|
64% | 17 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.47 |
 |
|
64% | 15 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.47 |
 |
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.47 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.37 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.37 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.23 |
 |
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.18 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.