Essendon v Melbourne
Docklands
10.12
72
16.12
108
Match complete
Melbourne won by 36 points
IN
Mutch
McNiece
Laverde
Ambrose
Leuenberger
Hartley
Green
Bellchambers
Myers
Begley
OUT
IN
Spargo
Fritsch
Hannan
Lewis
McDonald
Petracca
Garlett
Kent
Stretch
Wagner
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 35.9 | 0.01 |
 |
|
73% | 21 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.54 |
 |
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 27.8 | 0.21 |
| Punters | |
56% | ✓ | 0.17 | ||
 |
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.01 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.08 |
 |
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.16 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.39 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.