Greater Western Sydney v Brisbane Lions
2018-04-28 16:35:00
Sydney Showground

10.17

77

5.13

43

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 34 points

IN

Shipley

Langdon

Greene

Simpson

OUT

IN

McInerney

Rich

Hodge

Bastinac

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		85%	46 points	✓	11.5	0.77
		96%	56 points	✓	22.0	0.94
		94%	53 points	✓	18.7	0.90
		92%	52 points	✓	18.0	0.88
		91%	56 points	✓	22.0	0.86
		89%	63 points	✓	29.0	0.83
		89%	55 points	✓	21.0	0.83
		89%	44 points	✓	10.0	0.82
		87%	42 points	✓	8.0	0.80
Punters		86%		✓		0.78
		79%	45 points	✓	11.0	0.66
		68%	22 points	✓	12.0	0.44
		65%	13 points	✓	21.0	0.37

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.