Hawthorn v St Kilda
2018-04-28 19:25:00
University of Tasmania Stadium

13.11

89

7.12

54

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 35 points

IN

Worpel

Langford

Burgoyne

Shiels

Sicily

Glass

OUT

IN

Webster

Clark

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		67%	18 points	✓	16.8	0.42
		82%	30 points	✓	5.0	0.72
		72%	29 points	✓	6.0	0.53
		70%	24 points	✓	11.0	0.49
		70%	21 points	✓	14.0	0.49
		68%	16 points	✓	19.1	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	19.0	0.44
		66%	22 points	✓	13.0	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	21.0	0.39
Punters		64%		✓		0.36
		63%	12 points	✓	23.0	0.33
		60%	12 points	✓	23.0	0.27
		55%	4 points	✓	31.0	0.13

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.