Hawthorn v St Kilda
University of Tasmania Stadium
13.11
89
7.12
54
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 35 points
IN
Worpel
Langford
Burgoyne
Shiels
Sicily
Glass
OUT
IN
Webster
Clark
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 67% | 18 points | ✓ | 16.8 | 0.42 | |
82% | 30 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.72 | ||
72% | 29 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.53 | ||
70% | 24 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 21 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.49 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 19.1 | 0.44 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.44 | ||
66% | 22 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.39 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.39 | ||
Punters | 64% | ✓ | 0.36 | |||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.33 | ||
60% | 12 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.27 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.13 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.