Adelaide v Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval
16.14
110
9.8
62
Match complete
Adelaide won by 48 points
IN
Mackay
Crouch
Hartigan
Kelly
OUT
IN
Spencer
Barlow
Rischitelli
MacPherson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 86% | 47 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.78 | |
95% | 55 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.93 | ||
93% | 54 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.89 | ||
92% | 49 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.88 | ||
92% | 71 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.88 | ||
92% | 58 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.88 | ||
90% | 47 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.85 | ||
89% | 46 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.84 | ||
Punters | 87% | ✓ | 0.81 | |||
85% | 48 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.77 | ||
79% | 44 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.66 | ||
77% | 32 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.63 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.