Sydney v Brisbane Lions
S.C.G.
21.15
141
13.10
88
QUALIFYING FINAL
Sydney won by 53 points
IN
McLean
Green
OUT
IN
McCluggage
Gallop
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 56.1 | -0.12 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 52.5 | 0.02 |
|
|
66% | 12 points | ✓ | 40.7 | 0.40 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.38 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 41.1 | 0.34 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 43.8 | 0.28 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 45.6 | 0.24 |
|
|
57% | 11 points | ✓ | 41.6 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 47.3 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 49.4 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 51.4 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 50.5 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 52.5 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 53.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 7 points | ✗ | 59.6 | -0.01 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 55.4 | -0.10 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 56.5 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 60.3 | -0.29 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 60.6 | -0.33 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 65.8 | -0.54 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 70.1 | -0.70 |
|
Punters
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 76.7 | -0.98 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.