Geelong v Carlton
2026-09-04 19:40:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

14.23

107

11.8

74

ELIMINATION FINAL

Geelong won by 33 points

IN

Wiltshire

Blicavs

Holmes

De Koning

Martin

Clark

OUT

IN

Derksen

Haynes

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	14 points	✓	18.6	0.43
Aggregate		62%	11 points	✓	22.4	0.32
		72%	16 points	✓	17.2	0.53
		71%	20 points	✓	13.0	0.51
		71%	17 points	✓	16.0	0.50
		70%	18 points	✓	15.2	0.48
		70%	18 points	✓	15.0	0.48
		70%	15 points	✓	18.5	0.48
		68%	15 points	✓	18.4	0.44
		68%	13 points	✓	20.0	0.44
		66%	12 points	✓	20.9	0.40
		65%	14 points	✓	19.2	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	21.1	0.36
Punters		64%	11 points	✓	22.0	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	22.0	0.35
		63%	14 points	✓	19.5	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	22.7	0.34
		62%	9 points	✓	24.0	0.32
		62%	9 points	✓	24.4	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	23.5	0.29
		60%	11 points	✓	22.0	0.26
		59%	6 points	✓	26.6	0.24
		58%	10 points	✓	23.0	0.21
		57%	9 points	✓	24.0	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	26.0	0.19
		55%	4 points	✓	28.7	0.14
		53%	3 points	✓	29.9	0.08
		51%	1 point	✗	34.0	-0.02
		54%	6 points	✗	38.8	-0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.